Tropical Storm Elida is forecast to become a hurricane briefly on Saturday. Current winds are 55kt with gusts to 65kt. It has moved into the So Cal swell window and will continue a north/northwest track providing the entire CA coast with a decent shot of tropical swell early next week, forerunners perhaps as early as Sunday. Interestingly the "cone" or path from NOAA has the remnants of Elida southwest of Monterey Bay (but well offshore) by next Wednesday. CA should start to see mid/high level clouds late this weekend into next week. Right now not expecting any strong storms/potential lightning events over the State, but could see some activity over the Sierra next week. Swell should peak around 4@14 early next week - 175-185 deg, but given the proximity of the storm and winds, could see some bigger waves at times. Would expect longer period forerunners in the Santa Cruz region late Sunday and then swell will fill in for Monday and Tuesday, maybe even extend more into the week for points north of SF. At the same time we will have some new long period swell from the Central Pacific, 2ft @16 sec from 195 and a much stronger storm developing under New Zealand with very large seas forecast Down Under likely to create a strong south swell for us later in the month. El Niño is charging forward now with ocean temps steadily rising from Peru up off Ecuador and west to the Galapagos. Expect a strong hurricane season in the East Pacific through fall and continued swell production from Down Under. When the N Pac starts to come online late August into September we may very well see some large swells for early Fall. Cya in the water.
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