Saturday, July 29, 2023

UPDATED FORECAST 7-29 - not much change, small south......

 Small surf, marginal conditions continue.  We do have a south swell in the water this weekend and will stay in the background through mid week - but don't expect anything over 2-3ft (deep water).  Some buoys are showing 3@14 this am, Cape Mendo and then points south.  With the incoming tide, spots that can pull in this small swell might be ok as the winds are fairly light right now near shore.  We are waiting for the El Niño pump to re start in early August - which should start to fuel storm production in the southern hemisphere again and perhaps up north.   Until then, get what you can.   Cya in the water.  

Saturday, July 22, 2023

UPDATED FORECAST 7-22 - No surf for you.

 Golf, hiking, fishing, riding a bike, working in your garden, traveling someplace that actually has surf - these are things you can do in the summer when you have no surf around your local spots - which is what we have had now for quite a while and looks to continue for the foreseeable future.  We are waiting for the El Niño pump to start up again - it's been on pause for two/three weeks - but looks to push again starting Early August - which will hopefully start up storm production Down Under and perhaps start to fuel activity towards the N Pac for early fall.   Until all that - its northwest winds and crappy short period wind swell.   The winds over the outer waters are just enough to mess up everything but not strong enough or sustained enough to generate some larger wind swell (over 10ft ideal) for any kind of rideable waves near shore.   So, we wait.   Hang in there, August around the corner and September beyond.   Cya in the garden.  

Tuesday, July 11, 2023

UPDATED FORECAST - MAYBE SOME WIND SWELL HOPE INTO THE WEEKEND......

Not much on the charts right now from the S Pac or N Pac.  The South Pacific is basically asleep with blocking high pressure down under preventing storms from getting any traction over the open ocean.  Minimal background south swell to continue and might tick up a notch by this weekend as the storm corridor between New Zealand and South America remains barely open.   Up around our parts, the N Pac is under high pressure for the most part, although small systems continue to drift over the top of the ridge to the far north.   But none of these systems are generating swell.  We will have very strong northwest winds the rest of the week over the northern outer waters and that should generate some larger wind swell by Friday and Saturday with deep water heights reaching 8-10 feet Friday, 9-11 ft on Saturday.  As such, some low period wind swell should propagate into the inner waters this weekend - but biggest north of Bodega Bay.   SF/Bay Area likely to be an ugly mess with the winds.  The one wild card is the heat wave coming that might suppress winds near shore.  That would be most likely for Saturday/Sunday.  Get what you can, it's almost September, see you in the water.