Sunday, May 3, 2026

UPDATED FORECAST 5-3

Late season northwest swell arrives today and will peak around 6-7@15 sec from 300+ degrees.  Wind are mostly calm with fog along the entire California Coast.   Small south in the background at around 2ft.  Northwest swell will fade into the start of the work week, while small south swells stay in the background through the period.   Winds do look to stay pretty calm most of the week.   Chance of rain late today into Monday and then a gradual increase in temps by late next week.   Cya in the water.   

Saturday, April 11, 2026

UPDATED FORECAST 4-11 - WINTER RETURNS

Strong storm system will move across Central and Nor Cal later today producing 1-3in of rain and heavy snow in the Sierra before exiting sometime late Sunday.   Mix of long period south swell in the water (2.5@17 from 200) and north west swell (5.6@14 from 300).  Winds are south and will get stronger as the day goes on and the front moves through.   This storm will bring a shorter period, larger, west swell in on Sunday - likely 10ft@11-12 seconds.   More rain, bigger waves north of the Bay Area for the next few days.   That west swell will gradually fade into next week while pulses of south swell continue at 2-3ft @14 seconds.   Winds will begin to ramp up again from the northwest once this storm system moves out of the region.  Cya in the water.  

Thursday, March 26, 2026

UPDATED FORECAST 3-26

Our hot, dry March will come to a close next week as rain returns to most of CA starting about Tuesday and go on for 3-4 days.  Heaviest amounts Santa Cruz north.   Surf wise - lot of wind right now in the outer waters (gale warnings up) generating mostly large wind swell - north of Bodega around 10@10 sec.  Smaller SF south.   Small south in the water at 2ft - but getting smacked down once in gets around Pt Conception.  Pretty much look for average size wind swell the rest of the week into early next - along with background south swells.  Cya in the water. 

Tuesday, March 10, 2026

UPDATED FORECAST 3-10 - FIRST SOUTH IN THE WATER

 Long period south swell forerunners moving up the West Coast today - offshore buoys from Santa Cruz south to Oceanside reporting 2ft@22 plus sec from 187-194 deg.   SF north, just mostly large wind swell for the day as the north west winds continue to howl.  Swell will start to fill in better from SC south on Wednesday - peaking around 3@17-19 sec on Thursday.  Leftovers around Friday into Saturday, but smaller.  North of SC - swell will probably start to show at good south facing spots Thursday into Friday - might lose some steam due to the forecasted northwest winds through the period - but not a bad starter for the season.   High pressure firmly in control now through the next 10 days.   Will it rain again this season?   Not looking likely, although long term models way out point to one more pattern change late March into early April - will see if that actually comes to pass.   Cya in the water.  

Saturday, February 28, 2026

UPDATED FORECAST 2-28 - End of the "good wave" season?

 March 1st tomorrow and that typically is the end of the good wave/weather season around these parts.   A look at the buoys this morning paints a more optimistic picture.   New long period northwest swell has filled in overnight - ranging from over 9ft @15-17 seconds (320 deg) far north to around 4@15 seconds in SF.   Smaller south of there, but swell will continue to fill in all day.  We also have traces of a new and first south swell of the spring, around 1ft@17 seconds.  That will also build some over the weekend, but likely be lost in the dominant northwest swell.   Winds are light to offshore.   Northwest swell will fade over the weekend and be replaced by some small west to northwest swells through Tuesday.   Chance of rain returns Sunday and Monday - but very light and likely none south of Sonoma County.   Later next week the northwest (spring) wind machine ramps up with strong winds 25-30kt by Wednesday evening.   Just a reminder what season we are heading into!  Plenty of waves the next couple of days.  Cya in the water.