UPDATED FORECAST 2-28 - End of the "good wave" season?

 March 1st tomorrow and that typically is the end of the good wave/weather season around these parts.   A look at the buoys this morning paints a more optimistic picture.   New long period northwest swell has filled in overnight - ranging from over 9ft @15-17 seconds (320 deg) far north to around 4@15 seconds in SF.   Smaller south of there, but swell will continue to fill in all day.  We also have traces of a new and first south swell of the spring, around 1ft@17 seconds.  That will also build some over the weekend, but likely be lost in the dominant northwest swell.   Winds are light to offshore.   Northwest swell will fade over the weekend and be replaced by some small west to northwest swells through Tuesday.   Chance of rain returns Sunday and Monday - but very light and likely none south of Sonoma County.   Later next week the northwest (spring) wind machine ramps up with strong winds 25-30kt by Wednesday evening.   Just a reminder what season we are heading into!  Plenty of waves the next couple of days.  Cya in the water.  

UPDATED FORECAST 2-15 - STAYING LARGE AND STORMY

 Just starting a solid storm production cycle for the West Coast with heavy snow, rain and wind, XL surf for the most part over the next week.  Timing the windows for ideal winds and surf will be challenging.  This morning - first storm in the series is producing strong south winds and heavy rain north of the Sonoma County line.   West swell 8-9ft@15 seconds mostly, with short period south and north wind swell also in the water making it all a chaotic mess.  Swell comes up a notch tomorrow, pulsing back up to 10@13 and then really jumping Tuesday into Wednesday with deep water heights forecast 16-17ft @14-17 seconds.  Swell angle will fluctuate between 270 and 295 degrees.  West to northwest winds - strong at times - through the next 5 days.  This will continue to bring much colder air into the region and very low snow levels by Wednesday morning.   All n all, not many windows to surf but there are a few spots that will hold waves and deal with the wind.   Cya in the water?   

UPDATED FORECAST 1-31

 Good size west swell (280 deg) continues today, fading quite a bit from its peak yesterday - but solid this morning - 6-8 ft at 11 to 13sec.   Winds are light, mostly offshore as high pressure is once again in control.   A strong low pressure system in the N Pac will send another strong swell to our shores starting Sunday starting at 11@16 sec from 290 plus with a slow fade into Monday and Tuesday.  Monday will still be solid - 10-11@15 sec.   Brief dip in heights will be following by yet another swell starting next Thursday, ratcheting wave heights back up into the 10-11@14-16sec realm.   Good winds for the next week, light to variable/offshore for the most part.   Not much rain in the forecast through the second week of February.  Cya in the water.  

UPDATED FORECAST 1-17

 Two distinct patterns this winter - couple weeks of wet, followed by couple weeks of dry - we are back in that dry period, reminiscent of most of December prior to Christmas when the flood gates opened with rain through New Years Day.  Stubborn high pressure the culprit, but not very unusual for a La Niña Winter.   Great weather for us and there have been some really epic surf days.   High pressure sticks around for at least another week and then models are hinting at a pattern change again - back to rain.   Until then - mostly light, offshore winds, some fog, small surf the rule.  Small west/northwest swell today through tomorrow - around 4-5ft@13-14 seconds.   Another slightly larger swell from the northwest will fill in Tuesday - peaking at around 6@14 seconds.  Swell direction for both around 280-290 deg.  So mostly fun size waves for the next week or so - Santa Cruz north.   Cya in the water.  

UPDATED FORECAST 12-31

 Hope you enjoyed the past couple of sunny days - next round of storms lining up and will bring rain, wind, swell to the region for the next week or so.   It will be mostly south winds from today forward with increasing swell toward the weekend.   Gale warnings up for Friday when southeast winds will rip with gusts to 40kts.   For the rest of today, small west swell builds in at 5@12 seconds.   For NY day, expect southeast winds to pick up along with a southwest swell building 8@11 and a secondary south swell 6@13 sec.  Friday into Sunday - probably a mess - large storm south swell comes in 14@9 seconds while a bigger west swell fills in over the top of it peaking at 14ft@13 sec.  Swell direction from the south will mostly be 170 deg + while the west swell will be 275 deg.   Not seeing anything but south winds through Sunday night.   Cya in the water.