UPDATED FORECAST 5-15 - SOUTH PACIFIC STIRS......

Foggy morning on the CA Coast as summer like marine influence has set up shop.  Fading south swell and decent size north wind swell in the water.  High pressure is going build into the NE Pac/Northwest this week and the result will be strong northwest winds and large wind swell - mostly influencing conditions north of Pt Reyes through next Sunday.   Strong winds - 25-30 kts with gusts to 40 kts possible Thursday to Sunday over the outer waters.   Expect 10-14ft wind swell to develop by Friday - and this will take the piss out of the New Zealand swells on the move up especially SF north - Santa Cruz should fair nicely.  We have 3-4 swells coming up, nothing huge, but decent long period stuff from a favorable corridor Down Under with swell directions in the 210-215 window.   Probably looking for 2-3 ft deep water at 15-19 seconds starting Friday and going through Sunday.   As noted above, due to the strong northwest winds and large northwest wind swell, as these swell round Pt Conception and Pt Reyes they will degrade some as they arrive to central and northern CA.   Still, swell should be fun size at summer breaks.   Cya in the water.   

UPDATED FORECAST 5-4 - Not a lot of hope.....

 Heavy rain and wind in Nor Cal right now - especially north of Marin County as a strong late season storm makes its way onshore.   Surf is very small - from either direction  - and the winds aren't cooperating either.  This trend of small south swell in the background will continue through the next week with maybe a bump up by mid week - especially for Santa Cruz and points south.   For Bay Area/North - look for in increase in northwest/mid period swell Sunday night into the first part of this week - swell from the current storm coming in.   Deepwater will probably go 7-8ft @12 sec - biggest Bodega Bay to the north.   Issues will be the spring time winds - once the front clears the northwest winds will come roaring back through the entire coming week.   Water temps are very cold due to all the wind - around 49F SF and 46F up on the Mendo Coast.   We are really waiting for the South Pac to open for biz, but with the transition underway from El Niño to La Niña - pattern is a bit stagnant.   Cya in the water.