The large scale mechanics of a building El Niño, stalled for a few weeks, has rapidly started up again in the Pacific. Sea surface temps (SSTs) are warming quickly in two key regions that weather forecasters use to predict the strength of an El Niño - Nino 1.2 and Nino 3.4. Storm production in theory should pick up and we do have a new storm in the Southeast Pacific sending a swell up for late week as well as a very interesting storm forecast in the North Pacific resulting in swell building potentially late next weekend into the following week. While the activity in the South Pacific looks to continue to ramp up through late August, the building El Niño might just launch us right into fall swells for CA. Look for this New Zealand south swell to start showing late Thursday, but best and biggest Friday through Sunday. Nothing epic, but that corridor down under is usually a good direction for us - 210-220 deg. Deep water swell should max around 2-2.5ft. Winds look to wind down some through the week, which might help the swell hold together as it comes around Pt Conception for points north on the CA coast. More on the Gulf action later this week as the storm comes together. Cya in the water.
No comments:
Post a Comment