Monday, February 28, 2011
March Arrives - Week Ahead
Well, March 1st is officially the start to the spring surfing season on our north coast. However, winter is still very much in charge. Large storm is forecast to roar ashore late Tuesday through Wednesday with high winds and plenty of rain. In fact south winds look the rule from Tuesday afternoon until probably Thursday when things will turn west/southwest - then perhaps light to variable winds on Friday. Swell wise - new pulse of northwest swell if filling in tonight - 5-6 ft at 14 from super steep angle - 320 plus. Swell will quickly top out tomorrow afternoon. Back to back westerly swells look to come in Wed/Thurs - probably biggest Thursday - with well overhead waves at the north facing breaks. That swell will drop out quickly on Friday. Another big storm is due in here next weekend. So, for the next couple days find spots that like south winds. cya in the water.
Thursday, February 24, 2011
Weekend Forecast - No Snow for you!
Winds kicked around to the northwest this afternoon - mid period windswell the rule for the weekend - overhead at north facing breaks - could still be a sloppy mess as well unless you find some place protected. Freezing temps overnight - winds might lighten up by daybreak, so worth checking. The big SNOW was a big hype fest by NOAA and our friends in the national weather service - although if you live in the Santa Cruz or Santa Lucia Mtns - you might see a dusting of the white stuff tonight. Otherwise - probably looking at a sunny, chilly weekend - with spring time type windswell/mid period swell from a steep northwest angle. Check it and you might get lucky. cya in the water.
Monday, February 21, 2011
Week Ahead - Snowboard Nob HIll
Very cool to surf this weekend in West Marin with snow capped peaks in the background. If you like cold, snow and wet - then the end of this week could get very interesting - with a very cold low forecast to drop down out of Canada bringing us a chance of snow at sea level Thursday, Friday. It's happened before during strong La NIna winters - so it will be interesting to watch things develop. Between now and then - small surf pretty much the rule with perhaps northeast winds on Tuesday - then the flow turns onshore Wednesday-Friday as the weather turns cold and showery. Steep angle northwest swell will pick up from Wednesday on with head high and overhead surf (especially Friday) at northwest facing breaks. Just check the winds as i think it will be hard to find many places clean. How i miss those balmy days in January....cya in the water.
Friday, February 18, 2011
Weekend Forecast
cold, wet weather to continue through the weekend - maybe a break Sunday. Back to back, smaller west/northwest swells should be good for head to overhead surf at north facing breaks - smaller at protected spots. Winds do look light for morning sessions - so might be worth a look.
cya in the water.
cya in the water.
Monday, February 14, 2011
STORMY
Was up on the North Coast this weekend - way north - amazing weekend and let's just say conditions on that part of the coast are rarely that sunny Mid February. It's all come to a crashing stop today - as the first in a series of pacific systems come ashore this week. At this point - it looks nasty right through next weekend. There will be periods of good size swell, plus plenty of south winds. Might see some breaks later in the week with some potential east/northeast winds by Thursday/Friday - but my best call would be to check the winds daily and know which breaks will work on different wind directions. There will certainly be something to surf each day- you just gotta know where to look! cya in the water.
Friday, February 11, 2011
Weekend Forecast
We should have one more morning of decent winds and might get lucky for Sunday morning with light/variable winds. West swell winding down through tomorrow and then a new, bigger pulse of WNW comes in - pumping things back up in the 6-10 ft range - double overhead at the north facing breaks on Sunday. After Sunday - low pressure will take center stage pumping waves of showers/rain into California for most of next week. Much cooler temperatures as well - especially by Friday - and most likely unfavorable winds on and off. So get out the next two mornings and enjoy - then winter will make a return next week. cya in the water.
Wednesday, February 9, 2011
New swell overnight - winds are offshore
New west swell is showing - 6-10 ft at 15-16 seconds. Bigger further north you go. Swell will be in here AM - winds should stay offshore. Look for overhead surf at north facing breaks Thursday/Friday. Winds look decent for the next few days - our brief Spring time blow has come to an end - but it's a harbinger of things to come my surfing friends. So make sure to get out and enjoy the good days. We also have a major pattern change taking shape for next week with rain expected to return as early as Monday - lasting through the entire week if the forecast holds up. cya in the water.
Monday, February 7, 2011
Feels like Spring, looks like Spring.....
North winds howling offshore - buoys showing winds in the 29-35kt range - steep/short period windswell as a result in the 7-10ft range at a lovely 8 seconds from 330. Look for winds to continue overnight - and then start to calm down as we move through the week. In fact we may see a return to light morning winds starting Wednesday and lasting through Friday. So don't panic yet. We are looking at back to back small pulses of WNW swells starting late tonight and lasting through Friday. Nothing huge, probaby in the 4-7 ft range (deep water swell heights) - with a bit more size Thurs/Fri. By the weekend - and into early the following weekend - high pressure moves off - and low pressure move in - with a decent storm forecast next Tuesday, chance of rain this weekend. Still way early to call - but something to keep an eye on. We need more rain and snow in the mountains before the rainy season shuts down - so that is not all together a bad thing. Keep an eye on the winds this week - know your spots and you might find a few waves here and there. cya in the water.
Saturday, February 5, 2011
North Winds kicking up
quick update - north winds are blowing hard at the buoys offshore and look to continue overnight. Check winds early - as north facing breaks may be a mess. Otherwise - fading west swell and short period windswell the rule - along with a small pulse of south - for Sunday.
Friday, February 4, 2011
8ft plus at 14 seconds
WNW swell filling in today - will peak overnight and start to fade some Saturday. Double overhead at north facing breaks today. Down to 6-8 ft deepwater Saturday morning - and fading further on Sunday. Weekend looks really nice - light winds/offshore at times. Doesn't look like we'll have any fog - certainly no chance of rain. cya in the water.
Tuesday, February 1, 2011
February - More good weather/waves on tap
Fog hanging around inland and at the coast today - fading west swell at 4-5 ft. Look for surf to stay small the rest of the week - heading back up Thursday/Friday - which will feature deep water swell in the 6-10 ft range. Offshore winds will kick up tonight and remove the fog - Wednesday morning should be really good at north facing breaks. Swell moves in late Thursday and tops out on Friday. Decent morning winds (if not most of the day) look to continue through the weekend. Right now no rain is forecast through mid February - long range models are hinting at perhaps a significant pattern change around Feb 12-15 - to a wetter regime - but that's a long ways off right now. Enjoy another fine run of weather. February is considered the "last" real month of winter waves in Nor Cal - and with La Nina still in control - we could be in for a very windy, small wave spring. So get it while you can. cya in the water.
Thursday, January 27, 2011
Back to some rain, onshores this weekend....
Our nice run of high pressure induced offshores - will come to an end Friday through Sunday. Low pressure currently out in the Pacific will bring rain by Sunday. Winds will be out of the west on Friday (maybe variable in AM) and then WSW on Saturday and WNW on Sunday. Deepwater swell will come up again Sat/Sun in the 10ft range. Surf is on the larger side today at north/northwest facing breaks - 8-10 ft deepwater swell. Look for surf to fade just a bit tomorrow and then go back up. cya in the water.
Monday, January 24, 2011
More of the same really......
Surfed out yet? Well maybe by the end of this week.....Super clean conditions to continue through the end of January. Offshores, above normal temps and swell. Current WNW is winding down today - but plenty of size still about at north and west facing breaks. Slow fade tomorrow before the next WNW winds up to close out our week. Look for building overhead sets during the day Wednesday - and then double/triple overhead on Thursday into Friday - maybe down a notch on Friday. High pressure in full control - it's been almost a month without rain and no change expected for the next 10 days. We have a summer time high pressure dome over us and it's going to take a huge amount of energy to displace. cya in the water.
Friday, January 21, 2011
12@20!
IT'S MACKING. Swell has come in big, long period. Winds are offshore. Grab the jet skiis and head for the Outer Bars! Ha! Anything protected will be sick all day. Tomorrow looks just as big - maybe bigger. Ditto for Sunday. Offshore winds look the rule. Tell the wife/girlfriend you'll see her Monday. cya in the water.
Thursday, January 20, 2011
Winds turned offshore - Big Swell for the Weekend
Quick update and more detail tomorrow - large XXL swell inbound for us this weekend. Keep an eye on what it does in Hawaii today and tomorrow - extra, extra large for them. Swell is coming a long way so there will be lulls and early on, very long period stuff. Looks like the bulk of it hit will hit Saturday/Sunday. Winds have been very hard to nail - but offshore today and that trend (at least for the AM sessions) should continue. Warm temps, high pressure, La Nina. Plenty of swell still around today from our prior event - building long period energy tomorrow. cya in the water.
Sunday, January 16, 2011
Week Ahead
Complex weather pattern overhead - east winds advecting Tule Fog from the Central Valley into the Bay Area - and n/northwest winds blowing further offshore. Look for more dense fog the next morning or two - and then by mid week high pressure will grow stronger, and move into the Great Basin which should mix out the junk. Large west swell charges in here on Tuesday with surf in the double/triple overhead range (10-15ft deepwater) - at northwest facing breaks. Fading a tad Wednesday, down to 8-12 ft and fades further on Thursday/Friday. Sheltered spots are probably going to be the cleanest with this weather pattern we're stuck in. No rain in sight - high pressure in control and looks to stay that way through the week. Enjoy your day off - cya in the water.
Friday, January 14, 2011
Good Times Ahead - Plenty of Swell
West swell filling in - presently at 3.4 at 14 at 290. Size will continue to increase through the weekend - with Saturday and Sunday featuring overhead waves - double overhead at times at the north facing breaks on Sunday and into Monday. The rain is over, and it looks like it wont rain again in the month of January. La NIna is in full control - and a dry January is very typical of a strong La Nina pattern. Good for surfers - offshore winds/light morning winds look the norm for the next seven days or more. The swell machine is positioned out in the West Pacific - low pressure pumping out longer period west swells for the next few days. So definitely a good time to get some. **UPDATE FOR WINDS - could see some very light west/northwest winds the next couple mornings - so i think protected spots might be cleanest - but certainly check winds in the AM before you go out. cya in the water.
Monday, January 10, 2011
Week Ahead
Northwest winds never fully developed at the coast over the weekend and remained well offshore. Winds this morning are still blowing from the east as a new, long period west/northwest swell fills in at 4-6 ft at 17 from 310. Conditions should be clean this morning. We do have a weak weather system moving in for Tuesday into Wednesday with very light rain forecast. Look for decent conditions all week with small surf on tap. Next decent shot of swell will be Friday when things will move back into the head to overhead range as a new swell comes in with really fine conditions forecast. All n all - looks like a nice run of small surf and favorable winds. cya in the water.
Thursday, January 6, 2011
10ft at 17 from 300 - Weekend Outlook
Powerful, long period west/northwest swell charging tonight. Filled in all afternoon and will peak tomorrow with overhead surf at most spots while top northwest facing breaks will go triple overhead at times. Winds are still offshore, but i think tomorrow morning will be our last offshore AM for a few days as northwest winds are expected to come up in the afternoon as the ridge of high pressure that has given us all these great days at the beach breaks down and the storm track starts to take a more zonal approach to Northern/Central CA. No rain over the weekend, but it's in the forecast starting again next week. Look for our current swell to wind down on Saturday (still size in the AM) and also look for rising short period windswell as northwest winds will blow Saturday/Sunday. Sunday looks pretty iffy with fading swell, windswell and northwest winds. We might see a return to offshore winds early next week until the pattern breaks down and rain develops. So, i'd say get out tomorrow morning and find some place protected on Saturday morning. Watch football on Sunday. cya in the water.
Monday, January 3, 2011
Great Week of Surf Ahead
High pressure covers the region - and we'll stay dry right through next weekend. Look for offshore winds each morning. Old WNW swell is winding down as a new swell is starting to show way up north. Look for solid double overhead sets by tomorrow afternoon at northwest facing breaks. This swell from 285-310 will peak Wednesday with even bigger sets at northwest facing breaks. Swell will fade a tad on Thursday, as morning conditions remain ultra clean - and then another WNW swell will begin to charge in. This swell will be a bit bigger, especially on Friday with double/triple overhead sets. This looks like the best run of weather and waves we've had in quite a while - so get out and enjoy it. cya in the water.
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