SEPTEMBER LOOMS....

 Hope everyone is safe and experienced no loss due to the fires that continue to burn across Nor Cal.   The weather over the past few days has helped immensely and firefighters are getting containment lines around most of the major blazes.  Surf wise, as we move close to September keeping an eye on the Nor Pac for signs of life.   Nothing on the maps yet, just northwest winds and larger wind swell for the rest of the week.   Small south swell is in the water but mostly lost under the dominant wind and steep wind swell.  It does appear likely we are moving into La Nina this year - which does not bode well for rain production or a lot of major swells.   Think we might see an early season of rain, especially north of Sonoma County, but as we move well into fall and winter forecasts call for normal to below normal amounts.   Since La Nina winters tend to be drier and colder, we could see more clean days, smaller to mid size surf.   Like all of you, will have to see how things unfold.  I'll update as we move into September.  Until then, be safe and I'll cya in the water.  

FOG-AUGUST - Updated Forecast

Tiny signs of hope for some swell late this weekend into early next week from the south.   Swell is radiating north from a storm that was down in the southeast Pacific late July into early August.  Expect arrival late on Sunday with deep water swell tiny but long period - 1-2 at 20 seconds from 183.   Swell will build and peak Monday at 2-2.6ft at 17-18 seconds and then she is gone.  Could see a couple more storms form and send swell our way for Mid August - just a model hope right now, if the storms behave as forecast they will get going starting this Friday through the weekend.   Will monitor.   Models also hinting at a Gulf of Alaska low pressure system starting tomorrow into Friday, that could potentially send swell our way.  Did notice a surface low pressure this morning forming in the Gulf so we might get some early season action from northeast Pacific in a few days.  Will also monitor.  Otherwise, look for north to northwest winds and fog to remain strong through the week - could see winds ease this weekend.   Cya in the water.