UPDATED FORECAST 11-30

 Moderate atmospheric river to impact far N Cal, Oregon, Washington through the weekend - rain line will likely not make it south of the Mendo/Sonoma border as annoying high pressure (what's up El Niño?) - hangs around the Great Basin and NE Pacific - keeping most of the rain to our north.   From a swell production stand point, the machine is running and active as storms are lined up across the Pacific Basin.   Small northwest swell around today - about 3-5 ft, along with some wind swell on the order of 5-7ft.   Northwest winds are blowing over the outer waters, less so near shore.  New northwest swell will build in overnight becoming 6-8ft@13 seconds for Friday, along with lighter winds, small chance of rain north of Bodega Bay.  Swell fades Saturday, as a larger northwest swell fills in over the top pushing to 8-10ft for Sunday, bit smaller Monday.   Winds look light southwest/south for the weekend.   General swell direction for all these hits about 295 to 305 degrees.   Bigger swells on the menu for the first part of December - more on that next week.  Cya in the water.  

11-22, NEW UPDATE FOR REST OF THE WEEK

 First in a series of swells hitting today - 7 -8 @14 from west/northwest (285 deg) - biggest north of Bodega.  Winds for the most part are light.   Weak storm is passing overhead this afternoon - might see a shower or two north of Sonoma - the bigger story will be the north wind that builds in behind this from for tomorrow and Friday with 20-30kts forecast and higher gusts.  That will kick up a large wind swell on the order of 10-12ft - while a smaller long period northwest swell builds in underneath at 3-4@19 seconds from around 295 deg.  Another long period swell fills in for the weekend 5-6@21 seconds as the winds drop out for Saturday/Sunday - which are shaping up to be the best days over the next five or so.   

UPDATED FORECAST - THANKSGIVING WEEK

 High pressure builds in for the next 7-10 days.  We will have periods of light winds, some offshore winds, north winds through the next week.   Small west swell builds in Tuesday, around 5ft@16 seconds, while a bigger swell will take aim at the Coast on Wednesday, biggest Thursday at 8-10ft, slow fade into Friday dropping to 6-8ft.   There are some very large storms out in the Pacific right now - but they will be shunted north all week by the high pressure ridge.   Overall, should be a nice week for CA with primarily fun size surf and decent conditions depending on where you go.   Feels like as we move into December the pattern could very well change back to something much more sinister weather wise - as El Niño is in full flight and the pattern over the Pacific Basin is quite active to say the least.   A strong dip in the jet along with large storm systems and it will be game on.    Cya in the water.   

STORMIN'......UPDATED FORECAST 11-14

No surf for you!  Well actually, spots that like strong south to southeast winds might be kinda fun the next few days - but winds will be strong at times as a cut off low pressure system about 500-700 miles off Pt Reyes sits and spins (cut off from the steering jet stream winds) and pumps rounds of rain, shorter period southerly wind swell into CA.   Pattern to persist all week, a few windows with no rain but overall might be a good week to get some shit done as overall pattern looks pretty dim for good surf.   Cya doing chores and running errands.......

UPDATED FORECAST 11-8, N PAC ABOUT TO GO BOOM

 Fairly average fall surf the rest of the week, getting bigger towards the weekend and then beyond the storm door may open very wide by the middle of next week.   Winds are northwest today and staying out of a general north to northwest direction for the remainder of the week.  Next good shot of waves Friday into Saturday 6-9 ft @14 sec - biggest north of SF.   Lighter winds Sunday, bigger swell due in at 10-11 ft. After that - all eyes towards a large storm system taking up residence in the Gulf - polar jet to perhaps mingle with lower latitude jet stream winds and bring in what will be the strongest storm of this early season with potential for heavy rain, winds and mountain snows.   Large surf most likely a given, clean conditions most likely not!   This rainy pattern looks to start around Monday in the north, continuing thru about next Thursday.  As always - the devil is in the details - read the NWS Eureka and NWS Monterey/SF links for the full details over the next few days as the models come into better agreement on timing for everything.   Until then, plenty of surf to ride, just keep an eye on the winds.   Cya in the water. 

UPDATED FORECAST 11-4

 As predicted, end of the week bringing a pattern change as a number of storm systems are dropping across the N Pac.   A series of swells to result.   First one due in tonight at 7-9 ft @14 seconds, peaking Sunday at 8-9ft @13.  Direction 280.  Next swell due on the heels Monday, 8-10@14 seconds.  Similar swell direction.  That swell will linger into next Wednesday.  Winds are light south to southwest through Sunday night, switching to west, then northwest mid week.   Couple chances of rain through the next 7 days, but little rainfall expected south of SF/Santa Cruz - storm track/jet stream continues to hover to our north and until we see a strong dip in that jet, we won't get much precipitation.   That will likely start to occur late November and as we move into December.   Cya in the water.