Friday, November 27, 2015

Updated Forecast/11-27

East winds along with cold high pressure ruling our weather the past two days and should continue into the weekend.  Deepwater swell on Saturday forecast to come up to 4-6ft at 14 seconds and then jump further on Sunday at 4-6ft at 20 seconds as a new long period swell fills into the region.  That swell will build to 9-11ft on Monday.  East winds look to stick around for Sunday and then shift SE Monday as a weak storm system comes ashore.  Chance for rain will increase mid to late next week.  Good conditions and plenty of swell the next few days.  Cya in the water.

Tuesday, November 24, 2015

Updated Forecast/11-24

Strong low pressure system is moving through Northern California tonight with very cold temps, low snow levels and a lot of wind.  Ocean has responded to the system offshore - with Cape Mendo showing 17ft at 12-13 second intervals.  Not sure all the models have a good handle on this swell but look for deepwater in the 6-10ft range by sunrise tomorrow.  NW wind the rule and very cold temps for the early morning sessions.  Swell will quickly trend down through Thanksgiving Day and into Saturday - winds may improve for the morning sessions.  By Sunday, another large swell will roll in pushing deep water heights back up in the 8-12ft range.  We may see a fairly extended run of elevated surf through Dec 5th if the models are correct as the El Nino infused North Pacific gets energized with low pressure systems lining up and ramping up.  Plenty of swell on tap - check the winds and know your spots.  Happy Thanksgiving and cya in the water.

Thursday, November 19, 2015

Weekend Forecast/11-19

Ridge of high pressure in control for a few more days as our run of northwest swell continues to fade into and through the weekend.  Northwest swell running 6-7 ft at 11 seconds - larger to our north.  North to northwest winds are blowing strongest in the outer waters and should remain strong until Saturday.  Best conditions will most likely be in the mornings for the next couple of days.  By Sunday swell should be in the 3-5ft range.  Big changes starting around Monday as a large area of cold low pressure will drop down from the Gulf of Alaska for the holiday week bringing wind, some rain and much colder temps.  Would expect to see swell increase as well but could be a mess with all the wind.  More on that late in the weekend.  Water temps have cooled now - running in the mid 50's.  Cya in the water.

Saturday, November 14, 2015

Updated Forecast/Saturday 11-14

Booming long period swell showing early at 9-10ft at 20 seconds from the north/northwest.  Swell will increase into the very large range all day (already 19ft at 18 seconds up near Cape Mendo).  A vigorous storm system is digging south all day and will spread rain north to south overnight.  Winds will increase from the southwest overnight and switch to northwest behind the front on Sunday.  Swell will stay large through Monday.  Winds will stay northwest as well, switching to north mid week as swell fades but remains moderate sized through Wednesday.  Constellation Orion is rising a bit higher and early each night in the east.  Gotta love fall and winter in Nor Cal.  Cya in the water.

Sunday, November 8, 2015

Updated Forecast/11-8

Solid swell from the North Pacific will stick around all next week as back to back swells roll ashore.  Large NW swell currently in the water will peak tomorrow - deepwater heights in the 8-12ft range.  Swell will ease some Tuesday and more on Wednesday but remain quite solid.  Then a new swell will charge in next Thursday/Friday pushing deepwater heights back to the 6-10 ft range.  Winds look bad on Monday as the storm system bringing rain to parts of Nor Cal will come onshore during the day.  Winds may clean up from Tuesday on - at least for the morning sessions.  Check the winds - plenty of swell in the water.  Fall is starting to pop.  Cya in the water.

Tuesday, November 3, 2015

Updated Forecast/11-3

Strong early season storm brought large swell, rain and mountain snow to CA yesterday.  In it's wake, north/northwest to northeast winds blowing today and swell continues quite solid at 9-12 ft at 11 seconds at 300.  Look for surf to stay somewhat elevated all week fading some by Friday and then jumping up again next weekend into the large range.  North to northwest winds most of the week, but check it each morning as winds may be lighter for the AM sessions.  Plenty to ride, just hit a spot you know will be clean.  Next shot of rain will be Sunday/Monday.  Cya in the water.