Tuesday, October 29, 2013

Next Three Mornings...

Light Am winds the next three days - with very cold temps early Wednesday morning in the North Bay with low to mid 30s.  Overlapping small northwest swells will keep surf in the fun size.  Winds come up again late week - as will the swell - as another cold front pushing to our north.  No rain in forecast for SF and parts north.  Not digging the high pressure ridge establishing itself - doesn't bode well for early season rains and sand bar development at spots that like weather.  We'll see what unfolds.  Cya in the water.

Friday, October 25, 2013

Weekend Forecast

Fun size mix of southwest and northwest swells on tap.  Head high sets at top spots.  Winds will be lightest in the mornings - may see a bit more afternoon sea breeze each day.   Cya in the water.

Saturday, October 19, 2013

Larger Long Period Swell Early Next Week....

Small surf prevails - with fog back at the coast.  Things should remain on the small side until late Sunday night when early forerunners of the swell from former Typhoon Wipha start to show - deepwater 4-6ft at 20-23 seconds.  By mid day Monday, look for 6-8 ft at 18-20 seconds and during the peak of this event we might see larger sets in the 10-15ft range.  Swell angle 309 deg. A few things about this forecast.  First, this storm developed quite far from Northern CA.  Second, the main life cycle of this storm has been in the very far northern latitudes of the N Pac - not ideal for swell angle into N Cal.  So expect long lulls, but when the energy does come - especially during the peak of the event and peak tides - expect things to pack a good punch.  Wind forecast not ideal for early next week - NOAA still saying nw winds each day over the coastal waters - but they are forecast to stay light - so morning will probably be the best windows.  Cya in the water.

Monday, October 14, 2013

Week Ahead

Should be offshore most of the week - especially for am sessions.  No big surf - just fun size back to back pulses of northwest swell and windswell.  A bit bigger Wednesday/Thursday.  Next large swell event looks likely for next week - as an old typhoon is going to go extratropical off Japan, get caught in the westerlies and head our way with swell.  More on that later in the week.  Cya in the water.

Friday, October 11, 2013

Weekend Forecast

Small mix of northwest windswell and southwest groundswell for the weekend.  Waist to shoulder high- maybe some bigger sets during favorable tides.  Winds look lightest for the AM sessions - stronger afternoon flow.  Fog and low clouds hanging around.  Not too much interesting on the long term right now - waiting on the North Pac to really get busy and shift the season into high gear.  Cya in the water.

Wednesday, October 9, 2013

Conditions to improve later in week

Windswell is 12ft at 10-11 sec from 310 plus.  Winds are actually lighter than forecast nearshore, but still blowing strong over the outer waters.  Storm system has dropped down south out of BC, right now going down the spine of the sierra dropping some early season snow.  No rain forecast for us, just cooler temps and breezy.  Things should improve more Thursday and Friday - swell will drop through the period and we should have light AM winds, but probably stronger afternoon onshores.  No pure offshore period forecast, in fact the extended into next week shows more of an onshore component to our weather.  Should be waves to ride, just check the winds.  Cya in the water.

Thursday, October 3, 2013

Updated Weekend Forecast

Water temps are dropping with the strong northwest winds - Bodega Buoy showing 48 F.  No real data available closer in since the NOAA SF Buoy isn't reporting temp and the Half Moon Bay Buoy is now offline too.   With more and more buoys failing or offline it will become harder in the near future to get a good sense of what is going on in the outer waters and it's most dangerous for fisherman and commercial marine transport.  In the meantime, we work with what we have.  The rest of the week will feature northwest windswell/mid period groundswell in the 3-6ft range.  Conditions should clean up late tonight as the winds veer from northwest to northeast and offshore.  So the next few mornings "should" feature cleaner conditions with cold water temps.  No significant swell on the charts yet - but models are hinting at perhaps another good shot late next week.  Cya in the water.