Thursday, July 28, 2011

Weekend Forecast and beyond....

I'm off to Ireland later today - so won't be updating this forecast until next Wed or Thurs.  NW Windswell is the primary source for surf through the weekend.  Today the windswell is actually decent size 8ft plus - but winds are hacking it up at most spots.  Small pulses of west/northwest groundswell and a new south/southwest groundswell fill in the background.  Winds continue to be the issue - and will fluctuate back and forth between onshore and northwest.  Lightest winds will probably be found early mornings - but dont expect super clean conditions.  You'll probably find shoulder to head high waves at northwest facing breaks - small at protected breaks.  Good luck hunting.  Dont think i'll be getting any surf in Ireland either - as late July for them is much like late July for us - only it rains a lot more.  cya in the water.

Sunday, July 24, 2011

Oh so subtle signs of change.....???

Small northwest swell showing late today - 2.2 at 14 from 285.  Windswell hanging around too.  Former Typhoon Ma-on has kicked up a very small northwest swell that may roll in here around Wed/Thurs (shoulder to head) of next week and perhaps a bit bigger push of north swell behind that - late Thurs into Friday (shoulder to head high +).  As we're moving towards the end of July and early August - it's not unusual to start seeing small pulses headed our way and this is a positive sign.  Next decent run of anything from the southwest looks like the first week in August.  More on that over the next few days.  Winds still remain an issue at the coast - south to southwest - forecast to change back to west/northwest over the next couple days.  As always this time of year - surf early.  Cya in the water.

Friday, July 22, 2011

Meager offerings for the Weekend

Windswell and small background southwest swell.  That's all we get.  West to southwest winds as well - so not sure how clean any spot will be.  Best bet is to surf early and maybe you'll get lucky.  cya in the water.

Monday, July 18, 2011

Week Ahead -

Small southwest swell filling in this afternoon - 1-2 ft at 17 sec from 230.  Mix of north windswell underneath.  Was actually pretty clean and fun this morning.  Fog is rolling in right now as we have a low pressure trough dragging across the northern part of the state.  Keep the small southwest swell in the picture most of the week - but the key word is small.  Might see an uptick in the size of the windswell from Wednesday on.  You might find mornings best for wind - and northwest wind will certainly pick up as we go through the week.  Hang in there - it's mid July - change isn't too long from arriving - hunker down and be happy with what you get.  Cya in the water.

Thursday, July 14, 2011

Weekend Outlook

Decent run of back to back southwest swells will end over the weekend - and miserable onshore winds will continue at most spots through the period.  No warm up really in the cards for us until perhaps mid next week - and only then modest warming inland.  Background south swell and nw windswell over Sat/Sun - staying small - waist to maybe chest high.  We have another run of southwest swell lining up next week - but this event will be much smaller than this past weekend due to shadowing from New Zealand as the storm developed and evolved.  Deepwater swell this AM wasn't looking horrible - 3.2 at 17 from 175 - however, a bit on the inconsistent side.  Have a good weekend - as always - surf early this time of year and you might find conditions a bit "cleaner." cya in the water.

Monday, July 11, 2011

Week Ahead -

Good size south/southwest swell filling in - 2.8 at 17sec from 195 +.  Swell should peak later today and stick around through Wednesday.  Should be some background south swell through the remainder of the week and then all of next week - more southwest swell due.  Winds/fog will continue to be the fly in the ointment.  Just lousy weather at the coast with mostly onshore winds.  You might find a few spots protected - if you do there will certainly be something to ride.  Northwest windswell remains in the picture as well - no groundswells on the horizon from the North Pacific at this time.  cya in the water.

Friday, July 8, 2011

Weekend Forecast

New southwest swell just starting to show - 2ft at 17 from 230 - look for a building trend through the weekend - and then another sw swell to roll in early next week.  The 2nd swell should be a bit larger.  Fog, onshore winds will continue to be an issue at the coast - probably through next week - as high pressure has moved off and has been replaced by an upper level trough over the  northwest.  This will keep temps cool coast side - and in many cases those of you at the coast won't even see the sun. June/July gloom - pretty typical.  Not watching much else right now - the N Pac is asleep - except for our summer windswell.  There is a tropical depression down by Acapulco but it's not forecast to enter our swell window when it gains strength.  With this pattern in place - best bet is to always surf early, check the winds.  Cya in the water.

Tuesday, July 5, 2011

Week Ahead -

Not much to speak of for the rest of the week - windswell is the primary source of surf waist to head high at times, onshore winds the rule.  The next shot of anything interesting appears to be around July 11-12 - when a pair of southwest swells begin to roll in.  I'll update that by the weekend.  Until then - good week to get caught up on stuff.  You won't be missing anything.  Cya in the water.

Friday, July 1, 2011

Holiday Weekend Forecast

Mix of windswell and nw groundswell should keep surf in the waist to head high range through Monday at west/north facing breaks.  Bigger sets certainly possible - as we have deepwater in the 6 ft at 12 range - with some larger surf up north.  Southwest swell is minimal through the period.  Winds aren't that bad, even this afternoon - light onshore right now.  I'd say early mornings will still be your best bet with variable winds forecast - then turning stronger onshore for the PM sessions.  High pressure building from the desert southwest - if it makes it all the way to the coast it should wipe out the marine inversion - however - super tricky to pinpoint - so you might run into patches of fog/low clouds for those morning surfs.  Have a great holiday weekend - cya in the water.