UPDATED FORECAST 2-16

 One or two more weather systems this week and then looks like we might remain dry again until March.  New Gulf swell builds in tonight into Monday from 285 degrees - 8-11 ft @15 seconds.  We also have some background Gulf swell in the water today 4-6ft @ 13 seconds - also from 285.  Ongoing swell patterns will be from the West as the pattern will remain active to the Dateline and north/northwest of the Hawaiian Islands while blocking high pressure sets up in the Northeast Pacific.  Won't be as strong as the January dry spell.  Should have some decent weather over the next 10 days once we clear out.  Cya in the water.  

UPDATED FORECAST 2-6

If you are like me, probably haven't been in the water for a while - parade of storms, junky surf, wind, etc - been a big mess.   Not much hope ahead yet - and we inch closer to March which will most likely bring an onslaught of northwest winds this year with La Niña being such a late bloomer.   Speaking of wind - no shortage of it in the forecast - strong north to northwest winds taking hold starting tonight and looks like that will last until Monday.   Storm today, moves out tomorrow - very cold, but dry over the weekend and then more storms next week.   As such look for steep angle, larger wind swell in the water for the next five days or so - 8-12 ft @9 seconds mostly - biggest north of Bodega Bay.  That's all I  got!  Cya in the water.  

UPDATED FORECAST 1-18

Fun size, left over mid period northwest swell in the water this am - 4-6ft at 13-14 seconds from 295.   Late this afternoon forerunners will show from a long period west swell spawned by a storm force low way in the West Pacific earlier this week.  Swell will initially come in with very long periods 19-21 seconds - 4-5 ft from 293-295.   Filling overnight, solid come Sunday at 8@17 seconds.   Swell will gradually fade through the day on Monday.   Winds look light through around Tuesday as we are under a blocking ridge of high pressure - with summertime fog/cold mornings.    For those wanting rain - perhaps our first chance late next week into the weekend and then a better pattern should start to set up by around the 2nd wk of Feb if not a touch sooner.   Cya in the water.   

UPDATED FORECAST 1-14-25

 First off, LA made it through another Santa Ana wind event overnight, but a few more wind events to come this week for them.  Nothing as strong as last week.  Cali, in fact the entire West Coast is high and dry and looks to stay that way now through the end of January.  Blocking high pressure is the culprit- with two variations called a Rex Block and Omega Block trading places - both deal with the placement of high pressure and low pressure - and in our case neither are good - it stops storm production and swell production because the jet stream flow remains far to our north.   With this high pressure ridge over us and the northeast Pacific - nothing is going to break through for a while.   Add La Niña flexing now, mid winter, doesn't bode well for LA in particular.    They could very well not get much rain down there the rest of the winter.   Nor Cal has faired better with early seasons rains - 25-40 inches of rain north of SF to date for most places - but things will start to dry out later this month.  Surf wise - we do have swell as the West Pacific is still churning out storms - mid size/mid period stuff most of this week - deepwater heights 6-8ft 13-14 seconds - followed by an increase in larger north wind swell when winds pick up again Friday into the weekend.  Water and air temps are cool to cold - SF water around 53 - further north - 49-50.   Offshore winds for the most part in the mornings - so some ideal conditions.   Not seeing any change in the pattern now through Jan 26.   Beyond that hopefully the pattern will break down and give us something that looks like winter again.   Cya in the water.  

UPDATED FORECAST 1-8-25

 First off - weather and fire update for our friends to the south.   Strong/damaging Santa Ana winds will continue through the day, turning more northeast overnight.   Jet stream winds right now are unfortunately blowing directly over So Cal exasperating the fire situation.   These winds are being driven by a low pressure system driving into the Great Basin, AZ New Mexico - with high pressure locked in to the West.  Some relief later in the week but it looks like the region can expect on and off Santa Ana winds through the weekend.   The worst winds now, through Thursday.  

For Central and Nor Cal - windy yes, but we've had rain unlike So Cal - so our fire situation isn't anything to be concerned about.   The dry pattern looks to remain in place through the middle of next week - some hint that the ridge will break down late next week and we might get back into a wetter pattern.   Surf wise, well it's been quite solid and remains so today with swell running about 9@15 north of Bodega Bay, 6-8ft Bay Area south.   Swell direction around 290-293.   Pretty much looking at similar size waves the rest of the week, but then getting larger into the weekend as the winds pick up offshore for Nor Cal and generate some larger, short period stuff.   Cya in the water.