Monday, September 21, 2015
Updated Forecast/Monday, Sept 21
One more really warm day inland and then things will start to cool off some towards seasonal norms. Short period wind swell in the water with light/variable winds. Winds should pick up more onshore as the day progresses. Winds look stronger onshore tomorrow through Wednesday - wind swell will increase in size thru tomorrow and then drop off. Then we are looking towards a short/mid period swell event (280-320) from Thursday to Sunday, from a system in the Eastern Gulf of Alaska bringing head to overhead waves (biggest from Sonoma north). Winds look suspect from mid week on due in part to that front moving into the Pac Northwest, so keep an eye on the wind links on the right hand side of the page. We do have some overlapping southwest swells this week - but nothing remarkable. Maybe some knee to chest high sets at south facing breaks. In the bigger picture, the northern branch of the jet stream remains up in Alaska with high pressure anchored offshore and in the Pacific - pretty much the set up we've had for the past four years. So the connection between El Nino and the N Pac Jet is not showing real improvement just yet. This should change as we move deeper into the fall and winter when the main impact of El Nino starts to influence the upper atmosphere wind patterns and storm production. Until then - shorter period/mid period wind swell the rule. There are a couple tropical systems in the Pacific right now - far west and east - but nothing that looks to give us swell any time soon. Cya in the water.
at 8:26 AM