Friday, August 30, 2013

Weekend Forecast - Yeah, it's almost September 1st

You know it almost looked a bit like Fall today for a short while at the beach.  Fun southwest and northwest windswell peaking today, should still be around tomorrow for chest high sets at breaks that like the combo swell.  Winds, probably lightest early most of the weekend.  Swell will fade through Sunday.  Long term is looking more promising with our first possible small northwest swell of the season a week out.  It's just a blip on the models right now - but i'll get it dialed in early next week.  I think tomorrow is the best day of the weekend.  Cya in the water.

Wednesday, August 28, 2013

Last Week of Summer - Updated Forecast

Well, we've almost made it.  September 1 looms.  Now we just need the weather and surf to act like we're almost into Fall.  Fog, onshores and small surf prevail at present - although winds are light this morning.  Look for an increase in northwest windswell and southwest groundswell for Friday/Saturday - nothing beyond 2-3ft mind you - but a bit bigger than we've had of late.  Not tracking anything from the North Pacific or South Pacific beyond that.  Weak low pressure is anchored in the Gulf of Alaska with some wind associated and impulses moving thru - this will probably serve to keep the windswell going.  Upcoming weekend does look a bit on the slow side surf wise.  More on that later in the week.  Cya in the water.

Friday, August 23, 2013

Weekend Forecast

Looks like small windswell and background south swell for the weekend - and mostly onshore winds and fog at the coast.  Winds will be lightest in the early mornings.  Look for the windswell to come up a bit late today into Saturday - but overall it's looking pretty poor.  Long range not showing that much yet, from either hemisphere.  Cya in the water.

Friday, August 16, 2013

Weekend Forecast

Small WNW windswell - both from the Gulf and localized remains in the water.  Minimal background SW dribbles too.  While the North Pacific is showing more activity, no groundswells on the charts yet - however we will see ongoing WNW mid period swell (8-11sec) from Sunday thru next Tuesday.  Issue remains the onshore winds and fog.  Best to check early AM's for the lightest winds.  Could see the pressure gradient relax enough next week for some cleaner morning sessions.   Waiting on the jetstream to get more active. The only thing that will break up the pattern will be for storm energy to start hitting Oregon and Washington, dive into the Great Basin and give us offshore or at best some north wind flow.  No sign of that yet.  Cya in the water.

Tuesday, August 13, 2013

That's something....

That's an afternoon Sat shot and wind profile in the Gulf of Alaska.  There's actually a small storm getting some traction today and tomorrow.  Those Red wind barbs are showing wind and direction.  We will probably see a bit of a bump up in 8-10 sec windswell for Thurs/Friday and the weekend.  I know i'm reaching here - but when was the last time any of us had something to be excited about from the North Pacific.  More to come.  Cya in the water.

Sunday, August 11, 2013

Updated Forecast - South Pac asleep, waiting for Nor Pac to open for biz

Upcoming week will feature onshore winds and fog at the coast - lightest winds early, and sheltered spots will probably be the cleanest.  Blocking high pressure down under is keeping the storm track zonal.  Probably have to wait until the end of the month for the pattern to change and perhaps send up some swells.  In the meantime, really waiting for more signs of life in the North Pacific/Gulf of Alaska. Could see some short to mid period west northwest groundswell by next weekend from a couple storms that are forecast to pull together in the Gulf  - however with the windswell in the water it will be hard to notice.  Cya in the water.

Tuesday, August 6, 2013

Not much relief

The local cams and spot checks seem stuck on pause - fog, onshore, small, crappy.  Seems like it's been that way for an eternity at this point in the summer.  There is a storm circulation out in the Nor Pac which will send us a very small pulse of mid period/windswell by the weekend - but it's going to be fairly insignificant and probably hard to detect with the local windswell.  That's about all the hope i have for all of us as we move into Mid August.  Southern hemi has gone to sleep for with no storms producing swell this week - fog and low clouds and onshore winds to continue - with winds "lightest" for the morning sessions.  Good week to get work done and maybe plan a trip to warmer waters.  September is one day closer and hopefully this stubborn weather pattern will break down soon.  Cya in the water.

Friday, August 2, 2013

Another small pulse of south

Look for another small pulse of southwest swell to fill in over the weekend - probably showing late Saturday and sticking around through Sunday.  Spots that favor a southwest swell will be the call.  Winds will remain onshore - but lightest in the mornings and some protected spots might have little to no wind during the early mornings.  Windswell around too - and still watching for a bit of a bump in the northwest windswell around Aug 4-5 - from a small storm that formed this past week in the Gulf of AK.  No luck on our potential tropical swell from the former Hurricane Gil - he was too small to generate anything decent for Nor Cal.  Surf early and keep your expectations low.  Cya in the water.