Tuesday, May 29, 2012

Week Ahead

Mid period northwest swell filled in overnight - now 4 -5 ft at 12 from 290 +.  Problem remains the winds - onshore already this morning, but much lighter than over the weekend.  We will have a better shot of north swell late in the week - but winds will remain from the northwest.  We have a brief warm up starting Wed/Thur - but not certain that will make it all the way to coastal areas to provide some relief from the onshore push.  But i would check the winds very early both days just in case.  Not much doing from the southern hemi - just background pulses throughout the period.  cya in the water.

Sunday, May 27, 2012

Buoy links off line...not that it matters....

La Jolla Scripps/buoy links (deep water and nor cal links) appear to be offline - not that it matters much because i don't think anyone is surfing today.  Fog, onshore winds, slop windswell the rule.  Cool temps.  Doesn't look any better for Monday either, through next week as we'll have fog and onshore winds all week from the looks of it.  Only three more months until September.

Tuesday, May 22, 2012

Updated Memorial Day Weekend Forecast

Howling northwest winds is what we have.  Junky short period windswell a result.  Very deep, unseasonably cold low pressure system in BC will drop south by the Friday giving us a chance at rain in the North Bay.  We also have Tropical Storm Bud in the East Pac - but probably won't make it into the Nor Cal swell window before turning north onto the Mexican Coast.  But a good sign, maybe we'll have a strong local hurricane season off Mexico.  La NIna is on her last legs, which is also good, meaning we'll probably return to a neutral pattern for next winter.  If we're lucky, perhaps even a swing more toward El Nino.  Either way, should be a better Fall for waves.  Until then, we will have an increase in windswell and short period north swell through the week - but conditions will probably be pretty messy except for breaks sheltered from the wind.  That system will be out of here by Saturday and Sunday and Monday look to be pretty nice inland, with perhaps lighter winds near the coast.  Have to wait and see.  As always this time of year - surf early, check the winds.  cya in the water.

Saturday, May 19, 2012

Updated Forecast

Small surf continues through the weekend, mix of south and north windswell.  Winds look lightest in the morning and find some place protected.  Small wave tools probably the call.  Loving this summer quiver from Ashley Lloyd in Santa Cruz.  6.10 Egg/2 + 1 and a 9.4 log.  Pretty much has all the slop covered from here to Santa Cruz for the next three months or so.  Cya in the water.

Sunday, May 13, 2012

Spring Surf

Fog and s-sw winds on it.  Small mix of north swell and south swell - looks pretty bad.  Next week will feature a mix of windswell and south swells most of the week.  South facing spots will probably feature something to ride.  Just check the winds.  Only 4 1/2 months until September.  Hang in there.  cya in the water.

Sunday, May 6, 2012

Updated Forecast

Southerly background swell will continue much of this week and looks to increase in size later through the month of May.  We also have a late season storm taking shape in the N Pac that should send in a decent shot of WNW swell on Wednesday and Thursday this week - pushing swell heights back up in the double overhead range at N facing breaks this Thursday. Warm temps thru the region should continue at least through Tuesday AM then we might have a return of fog and low clouds near the coast. Could see a swing back to warm temps coast side late in the week.  Should be something to ride this week, check your winds and know your spots.  cya in the water.

Wednesday, May 2, 2012

Water 48, NW winds at 25

Yep, it's May - water dropped to 48 again, winds howling nw at 25kts or so.  Junky windswell with a small south pulse 1.8 at 14 sec (windswell around 6ft at 10).  Rain comes in on Thursday with south wind.  High pressure builds in strongly behind that front for the weekend.  Models are hinting at "offshore" flow and warmer temps (i'll believe it when I see it) for Saturday/Sunday - so who knows, it might be a surf weekend.  cya in the water.