Monday, February 27, 2012

March Upon Us....

Water temps are around 48 degrees, winds are blowing northwest and we're in between cold systems with a decent shot of rain moving in here Tuesday night into Wednesday.  The official end to the winter season is March 1st, but we'll have swell all week, biggest Wednesday and Thursday when deep water swell heights push back up in the 8-15ft range.  Winds will be blowing southwest Tuesday, onshore Wednesday, onshore Thursday and then northwest on Friday.  You might find something to ride if you know where to look.

 Beyond March 1st, i won't be updating this blog on a regular basis unless conditions warrant.  All the links etc will remain active so you can check conditions daily.  Looks to be a cool, windy spring around here - surf early and travel to warmer climates.  Regular updates will start up again in September.  Have a great summer.  Cya in the water.

Thursday, February 23, 2012


NW winds making a mess of things.  Today will be the last warm day inland, but doesn't look very clean near the coast even though the forecast was calling for offshore winds - just not happening.  Swell is up - mix of large steep windswell and groundswell - in the 8-12ft range.  Looking ahead - weekend doesn't look great - low pressure returns, winds come up and should be pretty ugly around here.  Spring conditions most certainly looking to take control.  With the lock down high pressure has had on our region all winter, it will be easy for that to assert full control as we move into March.  I just don't see anything significant changing the pattern in the near future.  Models forecast a stormy period starting in Mid March, which could bring more swell - but that's a long ways off and have to wait and see.  Storms usually bring periods of offshore flow early in the season - (after trough passage) - but late season storms in March and April come with NW winds/flow as they depart our region.  There will be surf - you just have to know where to look.  Cya in the water.

Monday, February 20, 2012

Some Nice Days Ahead

Bit of a break today as winds have stayed east to southeast - and light.  Swell is 6 ft at 12 seconds from around 290.  Look for swell most of this week in the 6-10 ft range (deepwater heights) as we also transition back to some offshore flow and warm temps Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday - winds look best for the mornings.  By next weekend, models want to bring another trough of low pressure towards the region perhaps ushering in a wet period for Central/Northern CA.  Have to wait and see.  Enjoy the next couple of days, March is just around the corner.  Cya in the water.

Saturday, February 18, 2012

Welcome to Spring?

NW winds are howling over the outer waters and water temps are going to plummet.  Look for winds through the weekend (and early next week) as late season storm systems with minimal moisture drag through Nor Cal, increasing the nw winds with each passage.  There is swell out there - if you don't mind a Gale Warning or two over the next 36 hours.  Looks a lot like Spring, and since March 1st is looming - almost on cue.  If you know where to look - you'll find waves.
cya in the water.

Monday, February 13, 2012

Week Ahead

Those offshore sunny days a distant memory now.....Winter has started in Nor Cal - we have a trough of low pressure directly overhead and moving through the area this morning.  Heavy nw winds, steep swell and a big mess over the open waters.  Look for nw winds most if not all week as a series of low pressure systems sweep through Nor Cal.  Plenty of swell if you know where to find it during these weather patterns - but anything with exposure is going to be big and blown out.  The pattern in the Pacific looks to stay active.  No huge rain storms, just small events.  Cya in the water.

Thursday, February 9, 2012

Weekend Forecast

WNW and WSW swells in for the forecast for Saturday and Sunday - deepwater heights will stay in the 8-10ft range - good for double overhead waves at top spots.  Winds are going to be an issue as we have a series of low pressure systems due in, the first Friday night and the second on Sunday.  So look for west (onshore) or west northwest winds through the period.  Plenty of swell about if you know where to look.  Cya in the water.

Sunday, February 5, 2012

Weather on the way....

Storm due in Monday through Tuesday.  Conditions will be nasty until Wednesday/Thursday - when a large WNW swell will roll in pushing waves back up to the triple (and bigger) over head range.  Deepwater swell in the 10-15ft range - dropping to 8-12ft on Thursday.  Lighter winds for the AM sessions both days.  cya in the water.

Friday, February 3, 2012

Weekend Forecast

Larger WNW swell will move in over the weekend - peaked at the PAPA buoy at 22-23ft last night.  Swell will begin to fill in overnight and should be quite solid at north facing breaks by morning with deepwater swell in the 8-12 range - bigger at top spots.  Size will stick around Sunday - fading slowly Monday.  Winds look offshore for most of the weekend, with perhaps a bit of an afternoon sea breeze.  Weather looks to change late Monday into Tuesday with rain in the forecast again.  cya in the water.