Monday, October 31, 2011

Week Ahead

Run of back to back swells will push in here starting tomorrow.  North facing spots should be a few feet overhead on Tuesday (perhaps sets to 1.5x) and Wednesday.  Winds look cleanest Wednesday morning with offshore flow forecast.  Steep angled north windwell will be in the water underneath the groundswell - which will make for sloppy conditions on Tuesday.  We have a series of "insider slider" type cold fronts coming down from BC on Thursday and next weekend.  The Thursday system will bring a chance of rain and much colder weather.  Northwest winds are also forecast to blow hard on Thursday and Friday.  Swell will build back up on Thursday in the afternoon - pushing up more on Friday.  So, plenty of waves around - but not ideal November type conditions in terms of weather.  Sorry Kelly.  Cya in the water.

Thursday, October 27, 2011

North Pac Loads Up for the ASP Boys

Upcoming run of back to back to back northwest to west swells in our future.  First swell is running down the coast tonight - deepwater in the 5-6 range at 14 seconds to our north.  From 305-320.  Swell will fill in on Friday, biggest in the PM.  Overhead surf for sure at the north facing breaks.  Surf will hold into Saturday.  Next swell due in Sunday, a tad smaller than the first swell - strongest Sunday - from 300-320.  Last swell rolls in next Tuesday - (first day of the contest waiting period) - lot of west in this one, from 295 - 320 - good for well overhead to double overhead surf at the best north facing breaks.  High pressure will stay in control right now through mid next week - then the pattern is forecast to break down, storms get closer and the storm track dips south.  Could see much larger surf develop then - but also could see some windy conditions.  More on that late in the weekend.  As for winds this weekend  - light winds forecast most mornings - but could have a very light onshore component both Sat/Sun mornings.  So check it and you might find some clean conditions.  Cya in the water.

Monday, October 24, 2011

Updated Forecast - Week Ahead

Fog and onshore winds increased overnight - the crisp, offshore conditions of the weekend gone for the moment.  New northwest swell is filling in - deepwater in the 7-9 ft range - short to mid period at 9-11 seconds.  Longer period stuff should move in tomorrow and Wednesday.  Winds will turn back offshore on Tuesday/Wednesday - which should set up pretty nice conditions - especially Wednesday morning.  This wind event not looking as strong as earlier predictions - but still should be good enough to clean things up.  Look for overhead to 1.5x size surf Tuesday/Wednesday at north facing breaks.  Slow fade into Thursday/Friday.  Dry conditions through the end of the month.  Cya in the water.

Friday, October 21, 2011

Weekend Forecast

Small surf through the weekend - in the 2-3ft range - but conditions should be improving with light offshore forecast for both Sat/Sun.  Swell will pick up next Mon/Tues going back to the head/overhead range at north facing breaks.  Next week looks like a pretty good run of offshore winds as well with high pressure building into the Great Basin setting up a classic October pattern for us.  Cya in the water.

Wednesday, October 19, 2011

Small surf through the weekend, better winds later

NW winds blowing hard today.  Look for generally messy conditions until probably Friday morning when winds may be northeast in the am - and possibly Sat/Sun as well.  Small northwest pulses will be the norm - through Sunday. Cya in the water.

Sunday, October 16, 2011

Updated Forecast - Week Ahead

Sorry for the late update - was uninspired yesterday - however, today was super fun with very clean conditions (still clean as of 2pm) and a fun mix of small northwest and southwest swells.  Surf is in the waist to chest high range.  Maybe a few bigger sets.  Look for small pulses of northwest swell to keep up through the week (3-4 ft deepwater), fading a bit on Thursday.  Light morning winds look possible (NE to offshore) the next three mornings.  So if you can get some before work - probably get clean conditions.  No rain in the forecast for the next seven days.  cya in the water.

Tuesday, October 11, 2011

Updated Forecast - Week Ahead

Solid NW swell filling in tonight - Cape Mendocino showing 15 ft at 15 sec.  Closer to home - Pt Reyes around 6ft at 20 sec from 295 degrees.  Forecast is calling for warm temps and offshore winds the next two days.  Could be pretty epic looking in the morning at many breaks - and manly with double to triple overhead waves at stand out nw facing breaks.  Look for surf to slowly wind down Friday into Saturday.  Nothing like Fall in Nor Cal.  You have my permission to take off work in the morning and go find some surf.  Cya in the water.

Saturday, October 8, 2011

So much for that nice run of weather forecast...

Well, mother nature pitched a curve ball today with our coastal weather.  Fog around most of the day - light winds early, but not the clear, offshore day that was predicted.  Tonight - a front is sweeping into our north bringing strong north winds and fog inland.  Look for that to continue overnight and into the morning hours on Sunday.  Chance of rain now for Monday - then rebuilding high pressure mid week.  NW swell dropping tonight - southwest sticking around - look for an increase in nw swell tomorrow - but i'm not expecting it to be that clean.  cya in the water.

Sunday, October 2, 2011

Week Ahead

Hope you got out today - was silky smooth most of the morning with some really fun waves.  Storm door is open - front will drop out of the northwest tonight and we'll see rain develop by tomorrow afternoon in the N Bay.  Swell will be on the heels of this storm - with head to double overhead waves by Tuesday morning.  Light south wind early, increasing during the day.  Tuesday is the break between storms (perhaps lingering showers) continued south wind and plenty of size at north facing breaks.  Tuesday night storm #2 comes onshore packing a much wetter (and windy) punch.  Look for generally messed up conditions all day Wednesday - as another new swell builds in late in the day pushing heights back up in the 6-10 ft range by Thursday (deep water heights).  Winds will shift to the WNW behind the storm on Wednesday and will stay from that direction through Thursday.  By late Thursday or into Friday we might see winds shift offshore as the low pressure system drives into the Great Basin.  More on that mid week.  So, plenty of swell to be around - but wind/rain and less than ideal conditions will be present through at least Wednesday.  Cya in the water.

Saturday, October 1, 2011

Updated Forecast

Mid period WNW swell will wind down on Sunday - biggest early.  Look for north facing breaks to be chest to maybe head high on the sets.  Winds should be light and variable early (like today) - then may pick up more from the southwest during the day.  No rain Sunday, should stay dry - then we get a shot of rain on Monday afternoon and a much stronger storm on Wednesday. Next decent shot of swell looks like Oct 6-7 - more on that as we start the week.  Cya in the water.